MECAS(07)18 - Outlook for the White Sugar Premium after the EU Sugar Reform

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The outlook for the white sugar premium - the price differential between white and raw sugar traded internationally- is vital at a time when the world sugar market is undergoing radical change associated with reform of the EU sugar regime and the consequent drastic reduction in exports of EU white s

In this study changes in both long-term and short term drivers for the white sugar premium are reviewed and analysed. Special attention is given to the growing role of destination refineries and higher ocean freeight rates. The study argues that the removal of EU white sugar from the white/raw sugar equation is not likely to change the “boom and bust” logic of comparative availability, the main long-term driver of the white sugar premium.

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